Suppose an investor is considering the purchase of a share of the Utah Mining Company. The stock

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Suppose an investor is considering the purchase of a share of the Utah Mining Company. The stock will pay a $3 dividend a year from today. This dividend is expected to grow at 10 percent per year (g = 10%) for the foreseeable future. The investor thinks that the required return (R) on this stock is 15 percent, given her assessment of Utah Mining’s risk. (We also refer to R as the discount rate of the stock.) What is the price of a share of Utah Mining Company’s stock?

Using the constant growth formula, we calculate the price to be $60:$60 = $3 15.10

Today’s price, P0 , is quite dependent on the value of g. If g had been estimated to be 12.5 percent, the value of the share would have been:$120 $3 15.125

The stock price doubles (from $60 to $120) when g only increases 25 percent (from 10 percent to 12.5 percent). Because of P0’s dependency on g, one should maintain a healthy sense of skepticism when using this constant growth of dividends model.

Furthermore, note that P0 is equal to infinity when the growth rate, g, equals the discount rate, R. Because stock prices are never infinite, an estimate of g equal to or greater than R implies an error in estimation. More will be said of this point later.

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Corporate Finance

ISBN: 9781265533199

13th International Edition

Authors: Stephen Ross, Randolph Westerfield, Jeffrey Jaffe

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