Question: 1. Decision Theory. In this book, we usually use the posterior mean as a point estimate. However, in a formal decision theoretic context, the choice

1. Decision Theory. In this book, we usually use the posterior mean as a point estimate. However, in a formal decision theoretic context, the choice of a point estimate of  is made by defining a loss function and choosing the point estimate which minimizes expected loss. Thus, if C.e; / is the loss (or cost)

associated with choosinge as a point estimate of , then we would choosee

which minimizes E[C.e; /jy] (where the expectation is taken with respect to the posterior of ). For the case where  is a scalar, show the following:

(a) Squared error loss function. If C.e; / D .e /2 thene D E.jy/.

(b) Asymmetric linear loss function. If C.e; / D

(

c1je j ife  

c2je j if e > 

where c1 > 0 and c2 > 0 are constants, thene is the c1 c1Cc2 th quantile of p.jy/.

(c) All-or-nothing loss function. If C.e; / D

(

c ife 6D 

0 ife D 

where c > 0 is a constant, thene is the mode of p.jy/.

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