Suppose your prior distribution for the probability of heads of a coin in your pocket is B(2,2).

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Suppose your prior distribution for the probability of heads of a coin in your pocket is B(2,2). Toss the coin ten times. Assuming you update your distribution as in x6.2.1, what is your posterior distribution? What is the expected value of tossing the coin on your posterior distribution? Select a larger equivalent sample size for your starting point, such as B(10,10). What then is the expected value of a posterior toss?

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Bayesian Artificial Intelligence

ISBN: 9781439815915

2nd Edition

Authors: Kevin B. Korb, Ann E. Nicholson

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