Question
Can someone please explain the difference between calculating the Value at Risk through the Historical Simulation Method and the Model Building Approach method. I am
Can someone please explain the difference between calculating the Value at Risk through the Historical Simulation Method and the Model Building Approach method.
I am using APA Group and Transurban (TCL) for a homework question. I have to find the 5-day 99% VaR and so far I have N (-2.33) and X = 5
I can do the calculations for one type of method but I am unsure which method it is, I will show.
Historical Prices for 501 trading days for APA and TCL have been collected and collated with $350,000 invested in APA and $650,000 in TCL.
Coefficient Correlation = 0.5, Daily Volatility for APA = 1.74% or0.0174 and for TCL = 1.89% or 0.0189
APA SD 1-day --> 350,000 * 0.0174 = 6090
SD 5-days --> 6090 *?5 = 13,618
VaR for APA --> 13,618 *2.33 = 31,730
TCL SD 1-day --> 650,000 *0.0189 = 12,285
5SD 5-days --> 12,285 *?5 = 27,470
VaR for TCL--> 27,470 * 2.33 = $64,005
SD ofPortfolio Value --> 60902+ 12,2852+ 2* 0.5 * 6090* 12,285 = $16, 211
16, 211 * 2.33 *?5 = 84, 460
(31,730 + 64,005) - 84,460 = $11,275
Is this Historical Simulation or Model Building?
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