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company ( implying the project will have the same ratio of EBITDA to sales and working capitalI. to sales ) and that depreciation is straight
company implying the project will have the same ratio of EBITDA to sales and working capital"I.
to sales and that depreciation is straightline over years for capital budgeting purposes. Since
your boss hasn't been much help welcome to the "real world"! here are some tips to guide your
analysis:
Obtain IBM's financial statements. If you really worked for IBM you would already have this data,
but at least you won't get fired if your analysis is off target. Download the annual income state
ments, balance sheets, and cash flow statements for the last four fiscal years from Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com Enter IBM's ticker symbol and then go to "financials."
You are now ready to estimate the Free Cash Flow for the new product. Compute the Free Cash
Flow for each year using Eq:
Free Cash Flow obrace Revenues Costs Depreciation
Depreciation CapEx
Set up the timeline and computation of free cash flow in separate, contiguous columns for
each year of the project life. Be sure to make outflows negative and inflows positive.
a Assume that the project's profitability will be similar to IBM's existing projects in the latest
fiscal year and estimate revenues costs each year by using the latest EBITDASales
profit margin. Currently, Yahoo reports EBITDA at the bottom of the income statement.
Verify this number by adding Income Before Tax, Interest Expense, and Depreciation &
amortization from the cash flow statement If the two numbers are inconsistent, use the
latter method to calculate EBITDA.
b Determine the annual depreciation by assuming IBM depreciates these assets by the straight
line method over a fiveyear life.
c Determine IBM's tax rate by using the current US federal corporate income tax rate.
d Calculate the net working capital required each year by assuming that the level of NWC will
be a constant percentage of the project's sales. Use IBM's NWCSales for the latest fiscal
year to estimate the required percentage. Use only accounts receivable, accounts payable,
and inventory to measure working capital. Other components of current assets and liabilities
are harder to interpret and not necessarily reflective of the project's required NWCfor
example, IBM's cash holdings.
e To determine the free cash flow, deduct the additional capital investment and the change in
net working capital each year.
Use Excel to determine the NPV of the project with a cost of capital. Also calculate the IRR
of the project using Excel's IRR function.
Perform a sensitivity analysis by varying the project forecasts as follows:
a Suppose first year sales will equal of IBM's revenues.
b Suppose the cost of capital is
c Suppose revenue growth is constant after the first year at a rate of
Note: Updates to this data case may be found at
wwwberkdemarzo.com.
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