Construct a business Model and current company performance for the hawaiian and alaska airline acquisition. Use the information below to build off it and also do conduct research of you own: awaiian Airlines Probability of Deal Going Through

Executive Summary

On $12/3/2023$ Alaska Airlines announced that it has reached an agreement to acquire Hawaiian Airlines in a $$1\mathrm{.}9$ billion deal. The deal includes taking on $$900$ million of Hawaiian Airlines net debt and a purchase price of $$18$ per share for Hawaiian Airlines. Our team was intrigued by the react in market price from its original $$4\mathrm{.}86$ all the way to $$14\mathrm{.}22.$ This is an $300\%$ return while Hawaiian airlines had been struggling to achieve profitability post pandemic era. Our team is interested on what is the probability the overall markets thinks that the acquisition will pass. From our analysis we ended up with a probability of around $55-60\%$ of the deal going through from the stock price. Here is our analysis of why.