Question
Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude
Crude oil spread: On July 10, a refiner observes a favorable crack spread and wants to hedge its August spread for 60,000 barrels of crude oil. Given a 5:3:2 crack spread, set up the hedge for the refiner on July 10 using the following information:
| Crude oil | Gasoline | Heating oil |
Contract specifications | 1,000 barrel (1 barrel = 42 gal) | 42,000 gal | 42,000 gal |
July 10 | Aug futures 49.00 USD/barrel | Aug futures 1.3040 USD/gal | Aug futures 1.3575 USD/gal |
What is the refiners expected crack spread (i.e., margin) if you assume an expected August basis of -0.30 USD/barrel between the cash spread at the refiners location and the New York futures spread?
Date | Cash Market | Futures Market | Basis |
July 10 | set up hedge, expected crack spread USD/barrel |
| expected -0.30 USD/barrel |
August 1 |
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On August 1, the refiner lifts the hedge and conducts the corresponding transactions in the cash market at the prices given below. What is the refiners final crack spread per barrel
| Crude oil | Gasoline | Heating oil |
August 1 | August cash 35.20 USD/barrel | August cash 1.0755 USD/gal | August cash 1.1540 USD/gal |
August 1 | August futures 34.80 USD/barrel | August futures 1.0735 USD/gal | August futures 1.1550 USD/gal |
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