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*For studying purposes Consider an ARMA(1,1) process yt = Bot pyt-1 + Et + 01Et-1, (1) for t = 1, 2, . .. , T,

*For studying purposes

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Consider an ARMA(1,1) process yt = Bot pyt-1 + Et + 01Et-1, (1) for t = 1, 2, . .. , T, where at ~ i.i.d N (0, o'). The lag polynomials 1-41 = 0 and 1+01L = 0 have roots that are greater than 1 in absolute value (their inverse roots are less than 1). Note that the information set is given by It = {yt, yt-1, yt-2, " "' , Et, Et-1, Et-2, "..} (a) Compute yrth,T for h = 1,2,3. You need to write your forecasts in terms of the parameters in (1) and elements of 2t. (b) Compute erth,T for h = 1, 2, 3. (c) Compute of = var (erth,T) for h = 1, 2,3 (write it in terms of the parameters in (1))

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