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If the data presents a trend choose the appropriate models to model the trend You might try polynomial models up to order 6 Carefully explain

If the data presents a trend choose the appropriate models to model the trend You might try polynomial models up to order 6 Carefully explain your model choices To model the trend we use the period from 1992Q1 to 2011Q2 because the period from 2011Q3 to 2012Q2 is reserved for forecasting exercise

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