please help with these 2 questions and show step by step how to do in excel

Assume there is a 40% chance of recession next year. Considering the following investment alternatives and their projected returns for 2023 under recession and no recession if you invest $100 today. Assume you have to invest your $100 in one investment alternative only. Use the Expected Value (Bayes) method to determine the optimal investment decision. Assume there is a 40% chance of recession next year. Considering the following investment alternatives and their projected returns for 2023 under recession and no recession if you invest $100 today. Assume you have to invest your $100 in one investment alternative only. Use the Expected Value (Bayes) method to determine the optimal investment decision