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Question 4: Estimation of the NPV of investment under three demand states. Demand State Probability of State NPV Estimate Low 20% $(300,000) Medium 50% $200,000
Question 4: Estimation of the NPV of investment under three demand states.
Demand State | Probability of State | NPV Estimate |
Low | 20% | $(300,000) |
Medium | 50% | $200,000 |
High | 30% | $400,000 |
- What is the expected NPV for the investment? Who would you interpret the meaning of the expected NPV? Is it a good investment?
- Assuming that the probability of the median demand state remains 50%, calculate the max probability you can assign to the low-demand state and still have an expected NPV of zero or (Hint: the sum of all probability must be 100%). How does knowing the maximum probability of realizing the low-demand state help you assess the project (no calculations required)?
Question 5: Compute the cost of capital for the firm for the following:
- A bond that has a $1,000 par value (face value). And a contract or coupon interest rate of 11%. Interest payments are $55 and are paid semiannually. The bonds have a current market value of $1,125 and will mature in 10 years. The firms marginal tax rate is 34%
- A new common stock issue that paid a $1.80 dividend last year. The firms dividends are expected to continue to grow at 7% per year, forever. The prince of the firms common stock is now $27.50.
- A preferred stock that sells for $125, pays a 9% dividend, and has $100 pay value.
- A bond selling to yield 12% where the firms tax rate is 34%
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