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Suppose a small fire insurance company insures 100 homes. Each homeowner pays an annual premium of $500. Fires are rare, but occur with probability 1

Suppose a small fire insurance company insures 100 homes. Each homeowner pays an annual premium of $500. Fires are rare, but occur with probability 1 in 1000 per year. In the event of a fire, the insurance company must pay out $250,000.

  1. Show that an expected value decision maker would enter this business.

  2. Show that a worst-case scenario decision maker would run screaming in fear from this business.

  3. Howmanyyearsmustaninsurancecompanyoperatebeforethe probability of losing money falls below 5%?

  4. Howmuchmoneymusttheinsurancecompanyhavehoardedto survive these numbers of years?

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