Question
Suppose a small fire insurance company insures 100 homes. Each homeowner pays an annual premium of $500. Fires are rare, but occur with probability 1
Suppose a small fire insurance company insures 100 homes. Each homeowner pays an annual premium of $500. Fires are rare, but occur with probability 1 in 1000 per year. In the event of a fire, the insurance company must pay out $250,000.
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Show that an expected value decision maker would enter this business.
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Show that a worst-case scenario decision maker would run screaming in fear from this business.
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Howmanyyearsmustaninsurancecompanyoperatebeforethe probability of losing money falls below 5%?
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Howmuchmoneymusttheinsurancecompanyhavehoardedto survive these numbers of years?
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