The numbers of Toyota Corollas produced in the Cambridge, Ontario, plant during each month of January 2008 to December 2009 period were as follows:

Assume that the cars are sold in the same month they are produced. Identify an appropriate forecasting technique, briefly state the reason(s) you chose it, and forecast Corolla demand in January 2010.

\begin{tabular}{|cccc} \hline Month & Produced & Month & Produced \\ \hline 200801 & 4,959 & 200901 & 6,733 \\ \hline 200802 & 8,463 & 200902 & 1,006 \\ \hline 200803 & 11,706 & 200903 & 9,328 \\ \hline 200804 & 9,907 & 200904 & 9,072 \\ \hline 200805 & 9,354 & 200905 & 8,738 \\ \hline 200806 & 11,297 & 200906 & 12,259 \\ \hline 200807 & 8,905 & 200907 & 9,519 \\ \hline 200808 & 12,249 & 200908 & 12,113 \\ \hline 200809 & 19,160 & 200909 & 14,044 \\ \hline 200810 & 14,264 & 200910 & 16,650 \\ \hline 200811 & 13,687 & 200911 & 16,912 \\ \hline 200812 & 8,657 & 200912 & 13,851 \\ \hline \end{tabular}