ForrecentU.S.presidentialelections,ineachstatewealthiervoterstendtobemorelikely to voteRepublican,yetstatesthatarewealthierinanaggregatesensetendtohavesmaller proportionsvotingfortheRepublican.35 Sketchaplotofstatewidevaluesof x = median income against y = percentvotingRepublicanshowinganoverallnegativetrend.Forseveral individuals intwoofthestates,addtotheplottheirvaluesofincomeagainsttheirstated probabilitythattheywouldvoteforaRepublicanpresidentialcandidate,showingapositive trend

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ForrecentU.S.presidentialelections,ineachstatewealthiervoterstendtobemorelikely to voteRepublican,yetstatesthatarewealthierinanaggregatesensetendtohavesmaller proportionsvotingfortheRepublican.35 Sketchaplotofstatewidevaluesof x = median income against y = percentvotingRepublicanshowinganoverallnegativetrend.Forseveral individuals intwoofthestates,addtotheplottheirvaluesofincomeagainsttheirstated probabilitythattheywouldvoteforaRepublicanpresidentialcandidate,showingapositive trend andillustratinghowthisinstanceofSimpson’sparadoxcouldoccur.

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